Senate is still a toss-up, but Democrats now have slight edge, prediction market traders think
The Capitol in Washington, July 22, 2026.Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe battle for the U.S.
The Capitol in Washington, July 22, 2026.Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe battle for the U.S. Senate is still tight, but prediction market traders think Democrats have close to their best chances yet of taking the upper chamber.
Speculators on Kalshi now give Democrats a 55% chance to win the Senate, nearly matching a level reached in mid-April. On Polymarket, the odds are even higher, with a 59% chance that Democrats will wrest control.
First reported by CNBC: Finance.
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